Language:English
Juventude v Grêmio Novorizontino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.10%44.50%44.44%45.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1350.00%48.50%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit)
Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -0.936%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.90%25.99%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.53%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.60%29.57%31.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.2535.71%32.09%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 44.44%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit): 25.98%; Draw: 29.58%. For Grêmio Novorizontino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -2.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.43%EV -5.34%E -2.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.33%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 03:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 14:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 19:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -8.01%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.45%E -4.10%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 07:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-26 03:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 21:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.18%E -6.14%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |