La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Juventude v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 44.44%2.25momio equitativo
EV -5.34%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.10%44.50%44.44%45.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.062.052.1350.00%48.50%48.78%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -0.936%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.90%25.99%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.53%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.60%29.57%31.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.2535.71%32.09%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.43%EV -5.34%E -2.51%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.33%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 03:44 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-26 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 14:38 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 23:59 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 19:21 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -8.01%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.45%E -4.10%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 07:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-24 22:09 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-24 02:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-26 03:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 21:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.18%E -6.14%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |