L’École des cotes

Juventude v Grêmio Novorizontino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juventude (Local)

Prévision 44.44%2.25cote équitable
EV -5.34%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -4.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.10%44.50%44.44%45.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.062.052.1350.00%48.50%48.78%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.687%
Kelly -0.936%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.90%25.99%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.53%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.60%29.57%31.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.2535.71%32.09%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.43%EV -5.34%E -2.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.33%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 00:54
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:04
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 01:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 03:44
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 14:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 07:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:38
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 23:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 00:00
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 19:21
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-28 01:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -8.01%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.45%E -4.10%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 01:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 07:54
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 07:58
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 22:09
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-26 03:50
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 16:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 21:34
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-25 19:25
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-25 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.18%E -6.14%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-25 07:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-03-27 22:15