Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude v Grêmio Novorizontino

Inizio: 2026-03-31 21:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 44.44%2.25quota equa
EV -5.34%
Vantaggio -2.51%
Kelly -4.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.10%44.50%44.44%45.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.062.052.1350.00%48.50%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.98%3.85quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.687%
Kelly -0.936%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%25.90%25.99%26.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.513.553.7530.30%28.53%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.58%3.38quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.46%29.60%29.57%31.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.103.2535.71%32.09%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juventude (Casa): 44.44%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 25.98%; Pareggio: 29.58%. Per Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.85. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.75, con un valore atteso del -2.58%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.43%EV -5.34%E -2.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.58%E -0.687%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.33%EV -7.71%E -2.47%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 00:54
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 01:04
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 03:44
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 07:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 14:38
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 23:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 00:00
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 19:21
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-28 01:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.56%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -8.01%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -8.45%E -4.10%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 07:54
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 07:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 22:09
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-24 02:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.90%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-26 03:50
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.29%EV -9.34%E -4.58%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-28 01:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 21:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.74%E -4.32%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-25 19:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-28 02:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-25 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.18%E -6.14%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-25 07:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%5.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%7.4%2026-03-27 22:15