Language:English
Juventude v Fortaleza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 43.66%2.29fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.03%43.73%43.58%46.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.29%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortaleza (Visit)
Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.14%25.02%25.12%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.603.9429.85%27.60%27.78%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.28%31.25%31.29%32.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.30%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 43.66%; Fortaleza (Visit): 25.10%; Draw: 31.24%. For Fortaleza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.94, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -8.75%E -4.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.52%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.78%EV -10.06%E -4.89%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -3.38%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 21:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -14.87%E -7.62%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | -0.1% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |