Langue:Français
Juventude v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 43.66%2.29cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.03%43.73%43.58%46.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.29%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.284%
Kelly -0.380%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.14%25.02%25.12%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.623.603.9429.85%27.60%27.78%25.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.24%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.28%31.25%31.29%32.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.30%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juventude (Local) : 43.66% ; Fortaleza (Visiteur) : 25.10% ; Match nul : 31.24%. Pour Fortaleza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.94, pour une espérance de -1.12% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -8.75%E -4.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.52%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.78%EV -10.06%E -4.89%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -3.38%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 21:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -14.87%E -7.62%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | -0.1% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |