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Juventude v Fortaleza
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Juventude (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.66%2.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.95%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.03%43.73%43.58%46.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.112.102.2051.28%47.29%47.62%45.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fortaleza (Гости)
Прогноз 25.10%3.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.12%
Преимущество -0.284%
Kelly -0.380%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.94
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.14%25.02%25.12%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.623.603.9429.85%27.60%27.78%25.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.24%3.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.14%
Преимущество -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.28%31.25%31.29%32.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.922.903.1036.36%34.30%34.48%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Juventude (Хозяева): 43.66%; Fortaleza (Гости): 25.10%; Ничья: 31.24%. Для исхода «Fortaleza (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.98. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.94, математическое ожидание — -1.12%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.95%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.29%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.40%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.70%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -6.89%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.47%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -7.44%E -3.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.32%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -8.75%E -4.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -7.52%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -9.19%E -4.42%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.78%EV -10.06%E -4.89%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -3.38%E -0.877%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 21:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.50%E -5.12%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -12.68%E -6.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -14.87%E -7.62%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | -0.1% | 2026-08-15 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |