The School of Odds

Juventude v Cuiabá

2026-07-17 22:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 46.26%2.16fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -6.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.88%46.26%46.26%46.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.022.0252%51%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV -6.54%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%23.37%23.37%23.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.753.914.004.0027%26%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV -7.35%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%30.38%30.38%30.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.053.0535%34%33%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:29
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:29
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.54%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 22:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26%EV -8.87%E -4.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.12%EV -10.26%E -5.29%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.21%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-10 22:29
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%EV -10.72%E -5.56%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.21%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-10 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%EV -10.72%E -5.56%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.21%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-10 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.88%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-10 22:29
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.88%EV -11.65%E -6.10%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-10 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.