L’École des cotes

Juventude v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC

Score final : Juventude 2–0 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juventude (Local)

Prévision 45.09%2.22cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -3.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.13%45.03%45.04%46.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.99%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.87%4.57cote équitable
EV +4.52%
Avantage +0.946%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.10%21.77%21.98%23.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.004.7826.67%24.22%25.00%20.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.05%3.03cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.27%33.20%32.98%34.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.662.772.752.8837.59%36.10%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.10%EV +4.52%E +0.946%K +1.20%G +0.054%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%EV -8.13%E -2.93%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 21:54
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 21:54
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 21:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 21:54
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 21:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.43%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 21:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 21:34
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 21:34
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:35
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:34
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 21:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 21:39
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 21:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:35
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:40
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:39
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 14:34
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 21:44
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:34
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:35