مدرسة الاحتمالات

Juventude v Cuiabá

البداية: 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Juventude 2–0 Cuiabá

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Juventude (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.09%2.22السعر العادل
EV -4.41%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -3.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.13%45.03%45.04%46.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.99%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cuiabá (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.87%4.57السعر العادل
EV +4.52%
الأفضلية +0.946%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.054%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.10%21.77%21.98%23.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.134.004.7826.67%24.22%25.00%20.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.05%3.03السعر العادل
EV -4.83%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -2.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.27%33.20%32.98%34.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.662.772.752.8837.59%36.10%36.36%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.10%EV +4.52%E +0.946%K +1.20%G +0.054%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%EV -8.13%E -2.93%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 21:54
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 21:54
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 21:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 21:54
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 21:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.43%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 21:34
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 21:34
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 21:34
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:35
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:34
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:39
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 21:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 21:39
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 21:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:35
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 21:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:39
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 21:40
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:39
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 21:49
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 14:34
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:39
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 21:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-17 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 21:44
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 21:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:34
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-07-17 21:35