La escuela de los momiosJuventude v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 45.09%2.22momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -3.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.13%45.03%45.04%46.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.99%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV +4.52%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.10%21.77%21.98%23.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.004.7826.67%24.22%25.00%20.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.05%3.03momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.27%33.20%32.98%34.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.662.772.752.8837.59%36.10%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%EV -4.41%E -2.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.10%EV +4.52%E +0.946%K +1.20%G +0.054% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%EV -8.13%E -2.93%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.22%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +0.586%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%EV -9.46%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.02%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.28%EV -0.507%E -0.111%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.70%EV -12.10%E -4.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.43%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.26%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.81%E -2.42%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -6.22%E -2.99%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -8.47%E -4.17%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:35 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.57%E -3.69%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-17 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| betano_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -12.08%E -6.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.53%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -7.12%E -3.46%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -14.72%E -3.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%EV -8.92%E -4.42%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.82%E -4.91%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -16.91%E -4.45%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -10.73%E -5.42%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -18.00%E -4.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-17 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 21:35 |