Language:English
Juventude v Ceará
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 50.55%1.98fair odd
EV -0.918%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.957%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.27%50.41%50.64%52.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.94%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ceará (Visit)
Prediction 20.20%4.95fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.42%20.31%20.18%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.374.454.9026.67%22.90%22.47%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%29.28%29.18%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.06%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 50.55%; Ceará (Visit): 20.20%; Draw: 29.25%. For Juventude (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -0.918%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.469%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.36%EV -2.94%E -1.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -21.23%E -5.44%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.03%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.64%E -0.549%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -23.25%E -6.12%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.48%EV -6.98%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -14.16%E -3.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.86%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.10%E -6.46%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.05%E -7.59%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.19% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04% | 1.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |