La escuela de los momiosJuventude v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 50.55%1.98momio equitativo
EV -0.918%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.957%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.27%50.41%50.64%52.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.94%54.05%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 20.20%4.95momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.264%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.42%20.31%20.18%23.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.454.9026.67%22.90%22.47%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.43%29.28%29.18%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.06%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.469%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.36%EV -2.94%E -1.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -21.23%E -5.44%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 18:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.03%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.64%E -0.549%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -23.25%E -6.12%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.48%EV -6.98%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -14.16%E -3.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.86%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.10%E -6.46%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.05%E -7.59%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.19% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04% | 1.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |