L’École des cotesJuventude v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juventude (Local)
Prévision 50.55%1.98cote équitable
EV -0.918%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.957%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.27%50.41%50.64%52.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.94%54.05%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.20%4.95cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.264%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.42%20.31%20.18%23.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.454.9026.67%22.90%22.47%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.25%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.43%29.28%29.18%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.06%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.469%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.36%EV -2.94%E -1.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -21.23%E -5.44%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 18:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.03%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.64%E -0.549%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -23.25%E -6.12%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.48%EV -6.98%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -14.16%E -3.33%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.86%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.10%E -6.46%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.05%E -7.59%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.19% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04% | 1.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |