La scuola delle quote

Juventude v Ceará

Inizio: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

Finale: Juventude 2–0 Ceará

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 50.55%1.98quota equa
EV -0.918%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -0.957%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.27%50.41%50.64%52.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.94%54.05%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ceará (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.20%4.95quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.210%
Kelly -0.264%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.42%20.31%20.18%23.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.374.454.9026.67%22.90%22.47%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.25%3.42quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.43%29.28%29.18%31.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.06%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.918%E -0.469%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:50
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -1.42%E -0.730%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -17.19%E -4.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 47.36%EV -2.94%E -1.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -21.23%E -5.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 18:44
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.03%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -2.64%E -0.549%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:50
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-28 18:49
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -4.96%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -22.24%E -5.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-28 18:49
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 18:49
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -5.47%E -2.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -23.25%E -6.12%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.48%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-28 18:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -24.26%E -6.47%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.48%EV -6.98%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 18:49
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -8.16%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 18:49
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 18:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -14.16%E -3.33%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-28 18:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 18:40
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 18:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -4.06%E -0.854%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 18:49
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -6.08%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.86%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 18:48
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.07%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:49
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 18:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -9.01%E -5.00%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -15.17%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -18.10%E -6.46%K -10.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.53%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.54%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-28 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -13.05%E -7.59%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.19%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.8%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-06-28 18:49
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.97%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-06-28 18:50
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-06-28 18:50