Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 4.84
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 48.32%; América Mineiro (Visit): 21.10%; Draw: 30.58%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.81%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV +2.14%E +0.442%K +0.557%G +0.012% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.13%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -15.44%E -8.82%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.55%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.02%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 23:53 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.76% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |