La scuola delle quote

Juventude v América Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-05-30 00:02 UTC

Finale: Juventude 3–0 América Mineiro

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 48.32%2.07quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.07%48.39%48.37%51.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.911.912.0057.14%52.24%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.10%4.74quota equa
EV +2.14%
Vantaggio +0.442%
Kelly +0.557%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.22%21.06%21.03%22.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.284.8425.00%23.25%23.39%20.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.58%3.27quota equa
EV -3.69%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.15%30.55%30.61%31.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.81%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV +2.14%E +0.442%K +0.557%G +0.012%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.13%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -15.44%E -8.82%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 00:00
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 00:00
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:58
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.55%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:58
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 23:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 23:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 23:59
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.02%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 23:53
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 23:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 23:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 23:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 23:59
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 23:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 23:59
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 23:59
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 00:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 23:59
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 23:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-29 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-30 00:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-30 00:00
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-30 00:00
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-05-30 00:00