L’École des cotes

Juventude v América Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 00:02 UTC

Score final : Juventude 3–0 América Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juventude (Local)

Prévision 48.32%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%48.39%48.37%51.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.911.912.0057.14%52.24%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.10%4.74cote équitable
EV +2.14%
Avantage +0.442%
Kelly +0.557%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.22%21.06%21.03%22.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.284.8425.00%23.25%23.39%20.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.58%3.27cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.15%30.55%30.61%31.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.81%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV +2.14%E +0.442%K +0.557%G +0.012%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.13%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 23:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -15.44%E -8.82%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 00:00
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 00:00
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:58
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.55%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:58
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 23:59
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:59
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 23:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 23:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 23:59
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 00:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.02%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 23:53
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 23:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 23:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-29 23:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 23:59
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 23:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 23:59
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-29 23:59
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 00:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 23:59
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-29 23:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-29 23:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-29 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-30 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-30 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-05-30 00:00
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-30 00:00
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.0%2026-05-30 00:00