La escuela de los momiosJuventude v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juventude (Local)
Predicción 48.32%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.07%48.39%48.37%51.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.912.0057.14%52.24%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 21.10%4.74momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.442%
Kelly +0.557%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.22%21.06%21.03%22.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.284.8425.00%23.25%23.39%20.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.58%3.27momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.15%30.55%30.61%31.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.38%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.81%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV +2.14%E +0.442%K +0.557%G +0.012% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.13%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -15.44%E -8.82%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -0.817%E -0.174%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:58 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -2.93%E -0.636%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.55%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:58 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.78%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.15%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.89%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.02%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 23:53 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.31%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -3.69%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.70%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.33%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.71%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -9.80%E -3.32%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.27%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.94%E -4.15%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.71%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -12.25%E -4.27%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.39%E -5.14%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.76% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |