语言:简体中文
Grêmio Novorizontino v América Mineiro
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)
预测 60.31%1.66公平赔率
EV -5.91%
优势 -3.79%
Kelly -10.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.56
博彩公司预测分布
58.78%60.45%60.28%63.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.17%66.23%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
América Mineiro (客队)
预测 15.10%6.62公平赔率
EV +8.86%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.43%
增长率 +0.127%
假设最高赔率为 7.21
博彩公司预测分布
13.27%14.96%15.21%16.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.156.007.2117.39%16.27%16.67%13.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.59%4.07公平赔率
EV +0.810%
优势 +0.198%
Kelly +0.261%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.10%24.59%24.52%26.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.79%27.03%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)：60.31%；América Mineiro (客队)：15.10%；平局：24.59%。 对于“América Mineiro (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.62。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.21，对应+8.86%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.27%EV +8.86%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.127% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.38%EV -7.30%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.67%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.69%E +0.813%K +0.949%G +0.054% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +0.810%E +0.198%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.45%EV -14.36%E -10.11%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.45%EV +1.16%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.60%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.37%E -0.526%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -6.39%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.42%EV -10.74%E -7.25%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.58%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |