Idioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 60.31%1.66momio equitativo
EV -5.91%
Ventaja -3.79%
Kelly -10.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.78%60.45%60.28%63.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.17%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 15.10%6.62momio equitativo
EV +8.86%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.127%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.27%14.96%15.21%16.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.156.007.2117.39%16.27%16.67%13.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.59%4.07momio equitativo
EV +0.810%
Ventaja +0.198%
Kelly +0.261%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.10%24.59%24.52%26.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.79%27.03%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 60.31%; América Mineiro (Visitante): 15.10%; Empate: 24.59%. Para América Mineiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.62. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.21, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.27%EV +8.86%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.127% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.38%EV -7.30%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.67%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.69%E +0.813%K +0.949%G +0.054% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +0.810%E +0.198%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.45%EV -14.36%E -10.11%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.45%EV +1.16%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.60%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.37%E -0.526%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -6.39%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.42%EV -10.74%E -7.25%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.58%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |