Langue:Français
Grêmio Novorizontino v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 60.31%1.66cote équitable
EV -5.91%
Avantage -3.79%
Kelly -10.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%60.45%60.28%63.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.17%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.10%6.62cote équitable
EV +8.86%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.127%
avec la cote maximale 7.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.27%14.96%15.21%16.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.156.007.2117.39%16.27%16.67%13.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.59%4.07cote équitable
EV +0.810%
Avantage +0.198%
Kelly +0.261%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%24.59%24.52%26.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.79%27.03%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grêmio Novorizontino (Local) : 60.31% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 15.10% ; Match nul : 24.59%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.62. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.21, soit une espérance positive de +8.86%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.27%EV +8.86%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.127% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.38%EV -7.30%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.67%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.69%E +0.813%K +0.949%G +0.054% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +0.810%E +0.198%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.45%EV -14.36%E -10.11%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.45%EV +1.16%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.60%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-20 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.37%E -0.526%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -6.39%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 23:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.42%EV -10.74%E -7.25%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.58%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-20 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-20 23:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-20 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.1% | 2026-08-20 23:29 |