StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino v América Mineiro

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-20 23:30 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 3–0 América Mineiro

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 60.31%1.66faire Quote
EV -5.91%
Vorteil -3.79%
Kelly -10.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.78%60.45%60.28%63.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.17%66.23%64.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.10%6.62faire Quote
EV +8.86%
Vorteil +1.23%
Kelly +1.43%
Wachstum +0.127%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.27%14.96%15.21%16.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.756.156.007.2117.39%16.27%16.67%13.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.59%4.07faire Quote
EV +0.810%
Vorteil +0.198%
Kelly +0.261%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.10%24.59%24.52%26.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.79%27.03%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim): 60.31%; América Mineiro (Auswärts): 15.10%; Unentschieden: 24.59%. Für América Mineiro (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.62. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.21 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.86%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.27%EV +8.86%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.127%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.38%EV -7.30%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 23:29
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.67%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.69%E +0.813%K +0.949%G +0.054%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV +0.810%E +0.198%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-20 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 23:20
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +1.92%E +0.284%K +0.334%G +0.006%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.45%EV -14.36%E -10.11%K -34.18%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.45%EV +1.16%E +0.174%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-20 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 23:15
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:19
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.60%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-20 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-20 23:19
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -3.37%E -0.526%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:24
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -8.93%E -5.91%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -6.39%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.12%E -4.62%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 22:45
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.78%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 23:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-20 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-20 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.94%E -3.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-20 23:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.71%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-20 23:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 23:23
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.32%E -5.48%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.44%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-20 23:24
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.42%EV -10.74%E -7.25%K -22.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.42%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.58%EV -11.34%E -7.71%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-20 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.71%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -12.43%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-20 23:24
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.02%EV -5.91%E -3.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -2.88%E -0.729%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-20 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -5.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.48%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-20 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 22:44
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 22:44
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.01%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.02%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-20 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.63%EV -12.55%E -8.65%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.29%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -10.25%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-20 23:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-20 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-20 23:15
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.2%2026-08-20 23:25
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.1%2026-08-20 23:29