默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás v Grêmio Novorizontino

开赛时间: 2026-06-10 23:00 UTC

最终结果: Goiás 0–4 Grêmio Novorizontino

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás (主队)

预测 41.13%2.43公平赔率
EV -3.34%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -2.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
39.78%41.21%41.14%43.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.53%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)

预测 26.89%3.72公平赔率
EV +0.283%
优势 +0.076%
Kelly +0.103%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.73

博彩公司预测分布
24.37%26.84%26.99%29.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.343.303.7333.33%29.91%30.30%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.98%3.13公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.81%31.94%31.87%33.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.882.903.0040.00%34.71%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Goiás (主队):41.13%;Grêmio Novorizontino (客队):26.89%;平局:31.98%。 对于“Grêmio Novorizontino (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.72。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.73,对应+0.283%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.87%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.82%EV +0.283%E +0.076%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -15.68%E -7.65%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -0.524%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 22:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:39
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -8.69%E -3.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:48
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 22:49
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.62%E -6.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-10 22:49
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-10 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.91%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%0.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-06-10 22:50