La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Goiás v Grêmio Novorizontino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Goiás (Casa)
Previsione 41.13%2.43quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.78%41.21%41.14%43.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.53%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.89%3.72quota equa
EV +0.283%
Vantaggio +0.076%
Kelly +0.103%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%26.84%26.99%29.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.303.7333.33%29.91%30.30%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.98%3.13quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.81%31.94%31.87%33.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.882.903.0040.00%34.71%34.48%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.87%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.82%EV +0.283%E +0.076%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -15.68%E -7.65%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -0.524%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-10 22:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Bovada | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -8.69%E -3.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 22:48 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.62%E -6.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.91%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76% | 0.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 0.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 0.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 0.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56% | 2.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |