L’École des cotes

Goiás v Grêmio Novorizontino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 23:00 UTC

Score final : Goiás 0–4 Grêmio Novorizontino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 41.13%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.78%41.21%41.14%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.53%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.89%3.72cote équitable
EV +0.283%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.103%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.84%26.99%29.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.303.7333.33%29.91%30.30%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.98%3.13cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.81%31.94%31.87%33.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.882.903.0040.00%34.71%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.87%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.82%EV +0.283%E +0.076%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -15.68%E -7.65%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -0.524%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:49
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 22:49
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:48
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:39
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -8.69%E -3.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:48
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 22:49
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 22:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.62%E -6.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-10 22:49
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-10 22:49
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.91%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%0.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-06-10 22:50