مدرسة الاحتمالات

Goiás v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-06-10 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Goiás 0–4 Grêmio Novorizontino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Goiás (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.13%2.43السعر العادل
EV -3.34%
الأفضلية -1.42%
Kelly -2.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.78%41.21%41.14%43.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.53%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.89%3.72السعر العادل
EV +0.283%
الأفضلية +0.076%
Kelly +0.103%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.37%26.84%26.99%29.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.303.7333.33%29.91%30.30%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.98%3.13السعر العادل
EV -4.05%
الأفضلية -1.35%
Kelly -2.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.81%31.94%31.87%33.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.882.903.0040.00%34.71%34.48%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.87%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.82%EV +0.283%E +0.076%K +0.103%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -4.69%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -15.68%E -7.65%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -0.524%E -0.142%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:49
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 22:49
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.21%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 22:48
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 22:39
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -8.69%E -3.91%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:48
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 22:49
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:49
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.28%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.81%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:49
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 22:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 22:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -13.62%E -6.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -12.62%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-10 22:49
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:39
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 22:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.36%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-10 22:49
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-10 22:40
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.91%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-10 22:40
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.28%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -18.00%E -5.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:39
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -19.34%E -6.45%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-10 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%0.1%2026-06-10 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%2.4%2026-06-10 22:50