La scuola delle quote

Goiás v Ceará

Inizio: 2026-07-04 23:00 UTC

Finale: Goiás 2–0 Ceará

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Goiás (Casa)

Previsione 40.22%2.49quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.36%40.37%40.18%43.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.242.272.4249.50%44.60%44.05%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ceará (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.01%3.57quota equa
EV +0.851%
Vantaggio +0.236%
Kelly +0.327%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.89%27.88%28.02%28.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.373.333.6032.05%29.71%30.08%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.77%3.15quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.42%31.75%31.80%33.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.31%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -1.95%E -0.557%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 22:20
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.95%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -2.79%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:50
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -17.15%E -8.33%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.971%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 22:20
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:55
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:54
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 22:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 22:54
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -17.55%E -8.56%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 22:20
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 43.41%EV -17.96%E -8.80%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 22:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 22:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 21:09
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 22:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -4.03%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 22:55
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 21:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 22:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -8.11%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.09%EV -8.19%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 22:54
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 22:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 22:54
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 21:10
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 22:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -12.60%E -4.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 22:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-07-04 22:30
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-07-04 22:55