Die Schule der Quoten

Goiás v Ceará

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 23:00 UTC

Endstand: Goiás 2–0 Ceará

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Goiás (Heim)

Prognose 40.22%2.49faire Quote
EV -2.67%
Vorteil -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.36%40.37%40.18%43.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.022.242.272.4249.50%44.60%44.05%41.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ceará (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.01%3.57faire Quote
EV +0.851%
Vorteil +0.236%
Kelly +0.327%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.89%27.88%28.02%28.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.123.373.333.6032.05%29.71%30.08%27.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.77%3.15faire Quote
EV -3.11%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.42%31.75%31.80%33.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.31%34.48%32.79%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 22:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -1.95%E -0.557%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 22:20
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.95%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -2.79%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 22:50
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -17.15%E -8.33%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.971%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 22:20
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:55
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:54
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 22:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 22:54
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -17.55%E -8.56%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 22:20
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 43.41%EV -17.96%E -8.80%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 22:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 22:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 21:09
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 22:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 22:55
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -4.03%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 22:55
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 21:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 22:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -8.11%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.09%EV -8.19%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 22:54
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 22:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 22:54
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 21:10
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 22:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -12.60%E -4.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-04 22:26
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-07-04 22:30
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-07-04 22:55
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-07-04 22:55