L’École des cotesFrançais
Goiás v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Goiás (Local)
Prévision 40.22%2.49cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.36%40.37%40.18%43.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.242.272.4249.50%44.60%44.05%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.851%
Avantage +0.236%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%27.88%28.02%28.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.123.373.333.6032.05%29.71%30.08%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.42%31.75%31.80%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.31%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -1.95%E -0.557%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.95%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -2.79%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -17.15%E -8.33%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.971%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -17.55%E -8.56%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.41%EV -17.96%E -8.80%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -4.03%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -8.11%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.09%EV -8.19%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -12.60%E -4.04%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 22:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 22:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |