La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Goiás v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goiás (Local)
Predicción 40.22%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%40.37%40.18%43.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.242.272.4249.50%44.60%44.05%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.851%
Ventaja +0.236%
Kelly +0.327%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%27.88%28.02%28.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.123.373.333.6032.05%29.71%30.08%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.77%3.15momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%31.75%31.80%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.31%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -13.93%E -6.51%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV +0.851%E +0.236%K +0.327%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -15.54%E -7.40%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -1.95%E -0.557%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.95%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -2.79%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.57%EV -17.15%E -8.33%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -3.35%E -0.971%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.91%EV -2.67%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.39%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -13.53%E -6.29%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -17.55%E -8.56%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.41%EV -17.96%E -8.80%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -18.76%E -9.29%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.24%E -2.48%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -4.03%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -5.89%E -2.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -8.11%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.09%EV -8.19%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 21:15 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -8.30%E -3.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -12.60%E -4.04%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-04 22:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 22:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 22:55 |