A Escola das Odds

Goiás v Botafogo

Início: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Final: Goiás 1–0 Botafogo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Goiás (Local)

Previsão 45.84%2.18odd justa
EV -4.64%
Vantagem -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.23%46.09%45.82%49.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.972.002.0854.95%50.79%50.00%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +2.49%
Vantagem +0.578%
Kelly +0.754%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.83%23.72%23.79%25.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.943.954.3028.57%25.41%25.32%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.32%3.30odd justa
EV +0.062%
Vantagem +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.32%30.19%30.39%31.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.073.053.3036.36%32.62%32.79%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:15
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -13.35%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +1.30%E +0.305%K +0.398%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -0.612%E -0.147%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:46
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 20:56
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 21:14
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.90%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:53
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.22%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 20:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-16 20:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-16 21:10