مدرسة الاحتمالات

Goiás v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Goiás 1–0 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Goiás (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.84%2.18السعر العادل
EV -4.64%
الأفضلية -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.23%46.09%45.82%49.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.972.002.0854.95%50.79%50.00%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.83%4.20السعر العادل
EV +2.49%
الأفضلية +0.578%
Kelly +0.754%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.83%23.72%23.79%25.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.943.954.3028.57%25.41%25.32%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.32%3.30السعر العادل
EV +0.062%
الأفضلية +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.32%30.19%30.39%31.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.073.053.3036.36%32.62%32.79%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:15
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -13.35%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +1.30%E +0.305%K +0.398%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -0.612%E -0.147%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:46
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 20:56
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 21:14
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.90%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:53
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.22%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 20:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-16 20:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-16 21:10