L’École des cotesFrançais
Goiás v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Goiás (Local)
Prévision 45.84%2.18cote équitable
EV -4.64%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.23%46.09%45.82%49.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.972.002.0854.95%50.79%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +0.578%
Kelly +0.754%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.83%23.72%23.79%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.943.954.3028.57%25.41%25.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.32%3.30cote équitable
EV +0.062%
Avantage +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.32%30.19%30.39%31.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.073.053.3036.36%32.62%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -13.35%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +1.30%E +0.305%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -0.612%E -0.147%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:46 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 20:56 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Bovada | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.90%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 20:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.22%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |