La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Goiás v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goiás (Local)
Predicción 45.84%2.18momio equitativo
EV -4.64%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.23%46.09%45.82%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.972.002.0854.95%50.79%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +2.49%
Ventaja +0.578%
Kelly +0.754%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.83%23.72%23.79%25.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.943.954.3028.57%25.41%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV +0.062%
Ventaja +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%30.19%30.39%31.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.053.3036.36%32.62%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -13.35%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +1.30%E +0.305%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 21:26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -0.612%E -0.147%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:46 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 20:56 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Bovada | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.90%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 20:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.22%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |