Szkoła Kursów

Goiás v Botafogo

Początek: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Goiás 1–0 Botafogo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Goiás (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.84%2.18kurs godziwy
EV -4.64%
Przewaga -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.23%46.09%45.82%49.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.821.972.002.0854.95%50.79%50.00%48.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Botafogo (Goście)

Prognoza 23.83%4.20kurs godziwy
EV +2.49%
Przewaga +0.578%
Kelly +0.754%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.83%23.72%23.79%25.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.943.954.3028.57%25.41%25.32%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.32%3.30kurs godziwy
EV +0.062%
Przewaga +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.32%30.19%30.39%31.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.073.053.3036.36%32.62%32.79%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.40%EV -9.23%E -4.66%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV +2.49%E +0.578%K +0.754%G +0.019%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:15
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -13.35%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +1.30%E +0.305%K +0.398%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV +0.103%E +0.025%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +0.062%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:26
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -0.612%E -0.147%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.23%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -15.19%E -8.21%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -2.28%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 21:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:46
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 20:56
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 21:14
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 21:15
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -16.56%E -9.10%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.90%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:53
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -7.85%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.57%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -7.22%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:05
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.23%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -10.55%E -3.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 21:06
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 20:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.60%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.67%E -4.40%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 21:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.98%E -4.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.20%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -12.44%E -6.51%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.62%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-16 20:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:15
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-16 21:10