Language:English
Fortaleza v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 51.68%1.93fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -6.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.77%51.84%51.53%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.771.8360.61%56.67%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 20.20%4.95fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%20.10%20.29%21.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.574.605.0623.81%21.86%21.74%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%28.06%28.18%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 51.68%; Operario PR (Visit): 20.20%; Draw: 28.12%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.55%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.00%EV +2.22%E +0.439%K +0.547%G +0.012% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.72%E -8.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV +0.403%E +0.081%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -9.19%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.77%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.59%E -0.455%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.53%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.14%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.04% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |