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Fortaleza v Operario PR
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fortaleza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.68%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.42%
Преимущество -2.96%
Kelly -6.53%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.77%51.84%51.53%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.761.771.8360.61%56.67%56.50%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Operario PR (Гости)
Прогноз 20.20%4.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.22%
Преимущество +0.439%
Kelly +0.547%
Рост +0.012%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.00%20.10%20.29%21.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.574.605.0623.81%21.86%21.74%19.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.12%3.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.59%
Преимущество -0.455%
Kelly -0.638%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.15%28.06%28.18%29.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.71%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortaleza (Хозяева): 51.68%; Operario PR (Гости): 20.20%; Ничья: 28.12%. Для исхода «Operario PR (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.95. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.06, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.22%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.55%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.00%EV +2.22%E +0.439%K +0.547%G +0.012% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.72%E -8.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV +0.403%E +0.081%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -9.19%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.77%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.59%E -0.455%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.53%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.14%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.04% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |