Langue:Français
Fortaleza v Operario PR
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 51.68%1.93cote équitable
EV -5.42%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -6.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.77%51.84%51.53%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.771.8360.61%56.67%56.50%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Operario PR (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.20%4.95cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.547%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 5.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.00%20.10%20.29%21.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.574.605.0623.81%21.86%21.74%19.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.455%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%28.06%28.18%29.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 51.68% ; Operario PR (Visiteur) : 20.20% ; Match nul : 28.12%. Pour Operario PR (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.95. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.06, soit une espérance positive de +2.22%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.55%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.00%EV +2.22%E +0.439%K +0.547%G +0.012% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.72%E -8.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV +0.403%E +0.081%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -9.19%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.77%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.59%E -0.455%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.53%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.14%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.04% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |