语言:简体中文
Fortaleza v Operario PR
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fortaleza (主队)
预测 51.68%1.93公平赔率
EV -5.42%
优势 -2.96%
Kelly -6.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
49.77%51.84%51.53%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.761.771.8360.61%56.67%56.50%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Operario PR (客队)
预测 20.20%4.95公平赔率
EV +2.22%
优势 +0.439%
Kelly +0.547%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 5.06
博彩公司预测分布
18.00%20.10%20.29%21.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.574.605.0623.81%21.86%21.74%19.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.12%3.56公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.455%
Kelly -0.638%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.15%28.06%28.18%29.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.71%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fortaleza (主队)：51.68%；Operario PR (客队)：20.20%；平局：28.12%。 对于“Operario PR (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.95。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.06，对应+2.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.55%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.00%EV +2.22%E +0.439%K +0.547%G +0.012% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.72%E -8.92%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV +1.01%E +0.202%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV +0.403%E +0.081%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -9.19%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.03%E -0.632%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -4.04%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.00%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.85%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.05%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.77%EV -7.49%E -4.18%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.07%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -1.59%E -0.455%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -9.09%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -11.62%E -6.80%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.11%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.47%EV -13.69%E -8.20%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -12.12%E -2.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.53%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.14%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.59%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -15.15%E -3.61%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.04% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |