Language:English
Fortaleza v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 55.20%1.81fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -8.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.27%55.10%57.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.50%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.85%17.89%17.98%18.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.175.255.6022.22%19.35%19.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%26.84%26.91%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.403.6033.33%29.18%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 55.20%; Cuiabá (Visit): 17.98%; Draw: 26.82%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.672%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV +0.672%E +0.120%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.93%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -2.02%E -0.371%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 14:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.88%EV -11.12%E -6.91%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 03:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 03:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.01%EV -13.33%E -8.49%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 04:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 03:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 04:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.81%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.10%E -4.25%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-24 04:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 48.11% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 23.99% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 27.90% | 24.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |