StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza v Cuiabá

Matchstart: 2026-03-31 22:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza (Hemma)

Prognos 55.20%1.81rättvist odds
EV -6.15%
Fördel -3.62%
Kelly -8.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.63%55.27%55.10%57.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.50%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Borta)

Prognos 17.98%5.56rättvist odds
EV +0.672%
Fördel +0.120%
Kelly +0.146%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.85%17.89%17.98%18.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.175.255.6022.22%19.35%19.05%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.82%3.73rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -0.960%
Kelly -1.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.94%26.84%26.91%28.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.433.403.6033.33%29.18%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fortaleza (Hemma): 55.20%; Cuiabá (Borta): 17.98%; Oavgjort: 26.82%. För Cuiabá (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.56. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.672%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV +0.672%E +0.120%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 14:45
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 10:29
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.93%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -2.02%E -0.371%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 14:41
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.88%EV -11.12%E -6.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 14:45
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 03:58
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 03:59
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 03:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:29
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.01%EV -13.33%E -8.49%K -23.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 04:02
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 03:44
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 00:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 04:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 22:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:39
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 03:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.81%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:14
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:15
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-25 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.10%E -4.25%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-24 04:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 17:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 48.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 23.99%2.88I 34.72%NM 27.90%24.5%2026-03-27 23:10