La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 55.20%1.81momio equitativo
EV -6.15%
Ventaja -3.62%
Kelly -8.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.27%55.10%57.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.50%60.24%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 17.98%5.56momio equitativo
EV +0.672%
Ventaja +0.120%
Kelly +0.146%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.85%17.89%17.98%18.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.175.255.6022.22%19.35%19.05%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -0.960%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%26.84%26.91%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.403.6033.33%29.18%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV +0.672%E +0.120%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.93%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -2.02%E -0.371%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 14:41 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.88%EV -11.12%E -6.91%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 03:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 03:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 14:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-26 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 10:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.01%EV -13.33%E -8.49%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-27 10:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 04:02 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 08:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-25 03:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 16:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 04:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-26 22:05 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:40 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 03:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.81%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:15 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-26 00:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-25 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.10%E -4.25%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-24 04:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 48.11% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 23.99% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 27.90% | 24.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |