L’École des cotes

Fortaleza v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortaleza (Local)

Prévision 55.20%1.81cote équitable
EV -6.15%
Avantage -3.62%
Kelly -8.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.27%55.10%57.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.50%60.24%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.98%5.56cote équitable
EV +0.672%
Avantage +0.120%
Kelly +0.146%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.85%17.89%17.98%18.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.255.6022.22%19.35%19.05%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%26.84%26.91%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.403.6033.33%29.18%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV +0.672%E +0.120%K +0.146%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 14:45
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 10:29
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.13%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 10:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 55.93%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -2.02%E -0.371%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 14:41
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.88%EV -11.12%E -6.91%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -2.92%E -0.541%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 10:29
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 14:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 03:58
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 03:59
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -11.67%E -7.30%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 14:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-25 03:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.26%E -4.32%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.67%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-26 22:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.85%EV -12.78%E -8.09%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 10:29
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.01%EV -13.33%E -8.49%K -23.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-27 10:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -8.32%E -1.63%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 04:02
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 08:55
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-25 03:44
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 16:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 23:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.36%E -5.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 04:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.81%E -4.68%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 22:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 14:39
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 03:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -12.81%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:14
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-26 00:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-25 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.57%E -6.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.10%E -4.25%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -19.55%E -6.52%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-24 04:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%5.9%2026-03-27 17:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 48.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 23.99%2.88I 34.72%NM 27.90%24.5%2026-03-27 23:10