Language:English
Cuiabá v Nautico PE
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 46.40%2.15fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.35%46.43%46.48%47.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.61%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nautico PE (Visit)
Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV +0.587%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.60%24.47%24.41%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.82%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%29.10%29.11%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 46.40%; Nautico PE (Visit): 24.53%; Draw: 29.06%. For Nautico PE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.587%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 00:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -1.62%E -0.404%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -7.26%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 23:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 00:13 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-22 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 00:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.05%E -4.62%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 00:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-22 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-22 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-22 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-22 00:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 00:25 |