L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Cuiabá v Nautico PE

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-22 00:29 UTC

Score final : Cuiabá 3–0 Nautico PE

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prévision 46.40%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.35%46.43%46.48%47.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.61%50.51%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nautico PE (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV +0.587%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.189%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%24.47%24.41%25.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.82%27.03%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%29.10%29.11%30.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cuiabá (Local) : 46.40% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 24.53% ; Match nul : 29.06%. Pour Nautico PE (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.08. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.587%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:23
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -1.62%E -0.404%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-22 00:24
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 00:24
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 00:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 00:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -7.26%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 23:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:13
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:19
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.05%E -4.62%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-22 00:24
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-22 00:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79%0.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:24
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-22 00:25