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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
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Cuiabá v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-09-22 00:29 UTC

Slutresultat: Cuiabá 3–0 Nautico PE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cuiabá (Hemma)

Prognos 46.40%2.15rättvist odds
EV -4.87%
Fördel -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.35%46.43%46.48%47.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.61%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 24.53%4.08rättvist odds
EV +0.587%
Fördel +0.143%
Kelly +0.189%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.60%24.47%24.41%25.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.82%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.06%3.44rättvist odds
EV -4.09%
Fördel -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.08%29.10%29.11%30.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cuiabá (Hemma): 46.40%; Nautico PE (Borta): 24.53%; Oavgjort: 29.06%. För Nautico PE (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.08. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.587%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:23
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -1.62%E -0.404%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-22 00:24
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 00:24
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 00:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 00:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -7.26%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 23:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:13
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:19
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.05%E -4.62%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-22 00:24
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-22 00:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79%0.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:24
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-22 00:25