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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cuiabá v Nautico PE

Início: 2026-09-22 00:29 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 3–0 Nautico PE

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 46.40%2.15odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.35%46.43%46.48%47.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.981.982.0552.36%50.61%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nautico PE (Visitante)

Previsão 24.53%4.08odd justa
EV +0.587%
Vantagem +0.143%
Kelly +0.189%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.60%24.47%24.41%25.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.82%27.03%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.06%3.44odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.08%29.10%29.11%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cuiabá (Local): 46.40%; Nautico PE (Visitante): 24.53%; Empate: 29.06%. Para Nautico PE (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.08. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.587%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +0.587%E +0.143%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:23
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -1.62%E -0.404%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.87%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 00:24
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-22 00:24
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 00:24
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.33%EV -6.53%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 00:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 00:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 00:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.50%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -7.26%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.14%EV -8.16%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 23:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 00:19
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 00:13
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.23%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 00:19
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.05%E -4.62%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 00:24
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.37%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.16%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -12.91%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-22 00:24
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-22 00:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79%0.2%2026-09-22 00:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-09-22 00:24
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-09-22 00:25