Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.84
assuming max odds 6.47
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 53.16%; Londrina (Visit): 17.18%; Draw: 29.66%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV +11.16%E +1.72%K +2.04%G +0.228% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.02%EV -8.34%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.62%EV +2.22%E +0.374%K +0.449%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.31%EV -9.10%E -5.32%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.21%E -0.211%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.84%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -11.23%E -6.72%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-25 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.04%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.32%EV -7.57%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.64%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.80%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -2.11%E -0.641%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.86%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.27%EV -13.89%E -8.57%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-06-25 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.62%EV -2.19%E -1.19%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -8.04%E -4.65%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.97%E -4.56%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.34%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.23% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |