La escuela de los momiosCuiabá v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 53.16%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.11%53.09%52.94%54.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.751.8461.73%56.93%57.14%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 17.18%5.82momio equitativo
EV +11.16%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.228%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.73%17.13%17.27%20.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.355.125.006.4722.99%19.51%20.00%15.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.66%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -0.919%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.20%29.77%29.80%31.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.053.3036.36%32.64%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV +11.16%E +1.72%K +2.04%G +0.228% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.02%EV -8.34%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.62%EV +2.22%E +0.374%K +0.449%G +0.010% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.31%EV -9.10%E -5.32%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.279%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.21%E -0.211%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.84%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -11.23%E -6.72%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-25 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.04%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.32%EV -7.57%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.64%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.80%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -2.11%E -0.641%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.86%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-25 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.27%EV -13.89%E -8.57%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-06-25 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.62%EV -2.19%E -1.19%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -8.04%E -4.65%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.97%E -4.56%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-25 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.34%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.23% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 23:20 |